8 January 2025
Kai Kong Chay, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Wenlin Li, Senior Portfolio Manager, Greater China Equities
Ben Yu, Head of Equities, Taiwan Region



In 2024, Greater China equities closed higher due to a series of stimulus measures which catalysed the underlying structural momentums and growth trends. In this 2025 outlook, the Greater China Equities team will elaborate on four reasons for more upside potential going into 2025 despite potential US tariff concerns and geopolitical headwinds, as well as investment opportunities based on the 4As positioning for Greater China equity markets.
1) New fiscal policy initiatives
2) Mainland China can navigate tariff situations via different methods
3) Mainland Chinese corporates are “valuing up”.
4) Mainland China/Hong Kong markets can re-rate with better fiscal policy execution
From a sector perspective, we believe that mainland China should benefit from the following key areas despite macro and geopolitical headwinds:
Our investment process: GCMV + catalyst
Our investment team uses the GCMV (growth, cash generation, management, valuation) + catalyst framework to conduct investment research. This framework is applied for all company analysis which helps identify companies with competitive advantage, strong financial profile, earnings catalysts, and management teams that have created value for shareholders.
4As positioning
We believe there are 4 megatrends (expressed via the 4As positioning) which present growth opportunities that the team invest in via the GCMV lens.
We favour service-oriented and niche consumption sectors, including Technology, media and telecommunications (TMT) and platform companies (e.g. food delivery, online music), education, tourism, and home appliances (e.g. smart appliances).
We prefer leading companies with strong innovative capabilities and global footprints in the healthcare, and industrial and EV sectors.
In terms of investment opportunities, we favour AI wearable devices, AI smartphone supply chain and autonomous vehicles.
For Taiwan Region, we believe the next generation of AI development continues to present many structural opportunities across foundries, data centres, and HBM, etc. in the medium-to-long term.
We prefer strong, advanced manufacturing leaders with robust research and development capabilities. These companies benefit from the domestic growth recovery while at the same time riding on overseas market strength due to strong pricing and margins in overseas markets.
2026 Mid-year outlook: Asian Fixed Income
In this Mid-Year Outlook, the Asian Fixed Income team explains this important change in monetary policy expectations, and why the asset class is well positioned to capitalise on it.
2026 Mid-year outlook: Greater China Equities
Greater China equity markets showed divergent trends in the first half of 2026, with China A-shares and the Taiwan Taiex index registering strong gains driven by resilient technology exports amid global demand for artificial intelligence (AI). Meanwhile, the MSCI China market pulled back, weighed by commerce subsidies amid fierce competition in food delivery and rising AI capital expenditure, which we believe have already been priced in. In this mid-year Outlook, we highlight five positive drivers for China and Hong Kong equities in the second half of the year. Furthermore, the team explains why it believes the Taiwan region’s technology sector should continue to enjoy positive momentum.
2026 Mid-Year Outlook Series: Asia Equities ex-Japan
Asia equities ex-Japan continued the significant momentum from 2025 with strong performance throughout the first half of the year. Amid numerous catalysts, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities outlines in this Mid-Year Outlook why she is constructive on the asset class for the remainder of 2026. Positive drivers include: potential geopolitical resolution in the Middle East and lower energy costs, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across the region.
2026 Mid-year outlook: Asian Fixed Income
In this Mid-Year Outlook, the Asian Fixed Income team explains this important change in monetary policy expectations, and why the asset class is well positioned to capitalise on it.
2026 Mid-year outlook: Greater China Equities
Greater China equity markets showed divergent trends in the first half of 2026, with China A-shares and the Taiwan Taiex index registering strong gains driven by resilient technology exports amid global demand for artificial intelligence (AI). Meanwhile, the MSCI China market pulled back, weighed by commerce subsidies amid fierce competition in food delivery and rising AI capital expenditure, which we believe have already been priced in. In this mid-year Outlook, we highlight five positive drivers for China and Hong Kong equities in the second half of the year. Furthermore, the team explains why it believes the Taiwan region’s technology sector should continue to enjoy positive momentum.
2026 Mid-Year Outlook Series: Asia Equities ex-Japan
Asia equities ex-Japan continued the significant momentum from 2025 with strong performance throughout the first half of the year. Amid numerous catalysts, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities outlines in this Mid-Year Outlook why she is constructive on the asset class for the remainder of 2026. Positive drivers include: potential geopolitical resolution in the Middle East and lower energy costs, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across the region.