
Macroeconomic Strategy Team
6 July 2023
Key takeaways
1. The market is premature in its pricing of dovish pivots from central banks, both in terms of timing and magnitude.
2. There’s a risk that even if the Fed pauses in the coming months, the next move could be more tightening, not easing.
3. Markets need to reassess the central bank put for asset prices.
2026 Outlook Series: Greater China Equities
Greater China equity markets registered a strong equity rally in 2025 to date, driven by technology breakthroughs, demand for localisation, go-global demand, and upward earnings growth revisions. We reiterate a positive view on Greater China equity markets going into 2026 as we believe Mainland and Taiwan are well-positioned to drive high-quality growth to the next level.
2026 Asia Equities ex-Japan Outlook: Positive catalysts drive continued momentum
Asia equities ex-Japan delivered strong performance in 2025. Looking ahead to 2026, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities, outlines in this investment note why she believes the outlook for the asset class remains constructive, underpinned by numerous positive catalysts: a softer US dollar, the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across geographies.
2026 Asian Fixed Income Outlook: Positive momentum poised to continue amid ample investment opportunities
Asian fixed income posted strong gains in 2025 amid myriad challenges. Entering the new year, the asset class is poised for continued momentum on the back of numerous beneficial tailwinds. In this 2026 Outlook, the Asian Fixed Income team analyses the key factors likely to propel performance and identifies opportunities for investors based on key themes and developments in three regional bond markets: China, Japan, and India.
2026 Outlook Series: Greater China Equities
Greater China equity markets registered a strong equity rally in 2025 to date, driven by technology breakthroughs, demand for localisation, go-global demand, and upward earnings growth revisions. We reiterate a positive view on Greater China equity markets going into 2026 as we believe Mainland and Taiwan are well-positioned to drive high-quality growth to the next level.
2026 Asia Equities ex-Japan Outlook: Positive catalysts drive continued momentum
Asia equities ex-Japan delivered strong performance in 2025. Looking ahead to 2026, June Chua, Head of Asia Equities, outlines in this investment note why she believes the outlook for the asset class remains constructive, underpinned by numerous positive catalysts: a softer US dollar, the US Federal Reserve’s rate-cut trajectory, supportive earnings and valuations, and differentiated growth drivers across geographies.
2026 Asian Fixed Income Outlook: Positive momentum poised to continue amid ample investment opportunities
Asian fixed income posted strong gains in 2025 amid myriad challenges. Entering the new year, the asset class is poised for continued momentum on the back of numerous beneficial tailwinds. In this 2026 Outlook, the Asian Fixed Income team analyses the key factors likely to propel performance and identifies opportunities for investors based on key themes and developments in three regional bond markets: China, Japan, and India.